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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.07.08 23:05l 71 Lines 2692 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2008 22:01:54 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jul 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 198 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jul 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft showed a gradual decrease from 595 to
530 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (17-19
July).
III. Event Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Jul 065
Predicted 17 Jul-19 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 16 Jul 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jul 007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jul 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jul-19 Jul 008/008-005/010-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jul-19 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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