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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.07.08 00:00l 72 Lines 2755 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2008 22:01:57 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jul 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 196 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream remained geoeffective. Solar wind speed
measured at the ACE spacecraft ranged from approximately 650 km/s to
730 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled on Day 1 (15 July), becoming quiet on Day 2
(16 July). Activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on Day 3
(17 July).
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jul 066
Predicted 15 Jul-17 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 14 Jul 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul 010/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 008/010-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/05/15
Minor storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/20
Minor storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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