| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 11.07.08 23:22l 74 Lines 2974 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : B7IOK0NAG019
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DK0WUE<DB0MRW<OK0PKL<OK0PPL<OK0NAG
Sent: 080711/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
Priority: normal
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Thread-index: AcjjobwrsXNGSx8mThGWJVy+M1mA6w==
Thread-topic: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Date: Fri, 11 Jul 2008 22:01:56 -0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1215813733-57a200070000-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 11 Jul 2008 22:08:23.0156 (UTC) FILETIME=[A28F3340:01C8E3A2]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Content-class: urn:content-classes:message
Importance: normal
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-bin/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-virus-scanned: by Barracuda Spam Firewall at asu.cas.cz
X-mimeole: Produced By Microsoft MimeOLE V6.00.3790.4133
X-barracuda-start-time: 1215813738
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jul 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 193 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jul 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
in the past 24 hours. The visible solar disk remains spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. Solar wind signatures
observed at ACE are indicating the onset of a high speed stream from
a recurrent coronal hole. The velocity has showed a steady increase
from around 340 to 450 km/s, and the IMF Bz component has ranged
from +/- 7 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels with a chance for
isolated minor storm conditions at high latitudes for 13 July.
Predominately unsettled conditions are expected for 14-15 July as
the high speed stream continues to be geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Jul 066
Predicted 12 Jul-14 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 11 Jul 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jul 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jul 004/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul 015/020-012/015-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/25/20
Minor storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/30/25
Minor storm 20/15/10
Major-severe storm 10/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
