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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.07.08 22:55l 72 Lines 2879 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 8 Jul 2008 22:01:51 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jul 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours, and the visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (09 July). An increase to unsettled
conditions is expected on day two (10 July), with active conditions
possible at high latitudes, due to a recurrent co-rotating
interaction region. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on
day three (11 July), with isolated minor storm periods possible as a
coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.
III. Event Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Jul 066
Predicted 09 Jul-11 Jul 066/066/066
90 Day Mean 08 Jul 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 005/005-008/010-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/15/25
Minor storm 01/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/25/30
Minor storm 01/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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