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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sun, 9 Dec 2007 22:02:28 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2007 Dec 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 343 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Dec 2007
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 978 (S09E26)
produced a B9.4 flare during this perioed.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to range
from very low to low. C-class activity is likely from region 978.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field activity
level will increase from quiet to unsettled early on day 2 as a
recurrent coronal hole becomes geoeffective. There is a slight
chance of isolated active periods at high latitudes.
III. Event Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Dec 089
Predicted 10 Dec-12 Dec 085/085/085
90 Day Mean 09 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Dec 001/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Dec 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 005/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Dec-12 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor storm 05/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/25/25
Minor storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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