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OK0NAG > SOLAR 01.07.08 11:17l 100 Lines 3630 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: Monthly Ri Report
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# MONTHLY REPORT ON THE INTERNATIONAL SUNSPOT NUMBER #
# from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Provisional International monthly mean Sunspot Number for
June 2008 : 3.1 (three point one)
Maximum : 9 on 5, 10 // Minimum : 0 on 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, 14,
23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30
Provisional daily International Sunspot Numbers for June 2008 :
1.. 0 6.. 0 11.. 8 16.. 7 21.. 8 26.. 0
2.. 0 7.. 0 12.. 0 17.. 7 22.. 8 27.. 0
3.. 0 8.. 0 13.. 8 18.. 8 23.. 0 28.. 0
4.. 0 9.. 0 14.. 0 19.. 7 24.. 0 29.. 0
5.. 9 10.. 9 15.. 7 20.. 8 25.. 0 30.. 0
62 cooperating stations on July 1, 09 UT
Predictions of the monthly smoothed Sunspot Number using the last
provisional value, calculated for December 2007 : 4.9 (+-5%)
SM CM SM CM SM CM
2008 Jan 4 3 2008 Jul 2 9 2009 Jan 4 19
Feb 4 4 Aug 2 10 Feb 4 22
Mar 5 5 Sep 2 11 Mar 4 24
Apr 4 6 Oct 2 12 Apr 5 27
May 3 7 Nov 3 14 May 6 30
Jun 3 8 Dec 3 17 Jun 6 32
SM : SIDC classical method : based on an interpolation of Waldmeier's
standard curves; the estimated error ranges from 7% (first month) to
35% (last month)
CM : Combined method : the combined method is a regression technique
coupling a dynamo-based estimator with Waldmeier's idea of standard
curves, due to K. Denkmayr.
ref. : K. Denkmayr, P. Cugnon, 1997 : "About Sunspot Number Medium-Term
Predictions", in "Solar-Terrestrial Prediction Workshop V", eds.
G. Heckman et al., Hiraiso Solar Terrestrial Research Center, Japan, 103
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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