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OK0NAG > SOLAR    23.06.08 23:55l 71 Lines 2760 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Mon, 23 Jun 2008 22:01:51 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jun 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2008
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (24-26 June).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled during the next three days (24-26
June). The increase in activity is forecast due to the expected
arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Jun 065
Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun  065/065/065
90 Day Mean        23 Jun 069
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  005/008-010/008-005/009
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/20/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/35/15
Minor storm           05/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/05/01

	  	  
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