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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 20 Jun 2008 22:01:53 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jun 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jun 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z
to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 999
(S02E06) has remained stable over the summary period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. There
was an isolated period of active conditions observed from 0300 -
0600Z on 20 June, due to sustained southward Bz and elevated wind
speeds. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet levels for the forecast period
(21 to 23 June).
III. Event Probabilities 21 Jun-23 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Jun 065
Predicted 21 Jun-23 Jun 065/065/065
90 Day Mean 20 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jun 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Jun 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Jun-23 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jun-23 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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