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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.06.08 22:56l 71 Lines 2719 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Wed, 18 Jun 2008 22:01:53 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jun 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 170 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jun 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 999 (S03E37)
remains stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled due to a coronal hole
high speed stream. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for days one and two (19-20 June),
returning to quiet levels on day three (21 June) as the high speed
stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 19 Jun-21 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Jun 065
Predicted 19 Jun-21 Jun 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 18 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jun 008/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jun 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jun-21 Jun 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jun-21 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/25/15
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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