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OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.11.12 02:31l 113 Lines 4249 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Thu, 1 Nov 2012 12:14:33 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
X-asg-orig-subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2012 Nov 01 1213 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU306
UGEOA 30512 21101 1201/ 9930/
10012 21012 30012
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 01 Nov 2012 until 03 Nov
2012
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Nov 2012 10CM FLUX: 100 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Nov 2012 10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Nov 2012 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 017
COMMENT: A weak shock was observed in the solar wind by the ACE and
SOHO/CELIAS instruments at L1, yesterday afternoon 14:45. The solar wind
speed jumped up from 280 km/s up to 370 km/s and also the solar wind
density increased. The origin of the event is unclear but is possible
related to a weak eruption and CME of last Saturday afternoon (Oct 27).
The last ACE measurements suggest that the interplanetary magnetic field
is southward at -10nT since several hours but the validity of the
measurement is dubious (density <1). If the measurement is correct, the
active geomagnetic conditions will probably persist for the rest of the
day. On the longer timescale (by Nov 3) we expect the influence of the
coronal hole, now at central meridian, to push geomagnetic activity
again upward. For all these reasons, we halt the SIDC ALL QUIET ALERT.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 029, BASED ON 06 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 21101 1201/ 31///
1//// 21040 3005/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 21101 1201/ 29/10 01105
10001 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50050 60004 47007 00000
10002 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50300 60009 32810 01000
10003 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50120 60003 30110 00000
10004 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 44309 00000
10007 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60002 27319 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 31156 06032 44003 24418 3/802 43001 30609 0/101 41008
33314 21302 40018 35813 51303 42003 47706 01202
UMAGF 30503 21101 1004/ 31068 1/014 20113 32232
UMAGF 31523 21032 ///// 3100/ 1/005 20001 31323
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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