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Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2008 22:03:46 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Jun 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 166 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jun 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 998
(S10W01) decayed to spotless plage.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels. A
co-rotating interaction region was observed at the ACE spacecraft
around 14/1200Z. Wind speeds began climbing soon thereafter to end
the period at just below 550 km/s, with the interplanetary magnetic
field Bz component ranging between +13 and -17 nT.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the forecast period
(15 to 17 June). There is a chance for active conditions and a
slight chance for isolated minor storm periods all three days due to
a coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
position.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jun 067
Predicted 15 Jun-17 Jun 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 14 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jun 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jun 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun 008/008-010/010-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/25
Minor storm 05/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/25
Minor storm 05/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
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