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JN1VSI > CONDX 02.01.14 12:06l 122 Lines 5475 Bytes #999 (0) @ JPN
BID : 21OJH4XSY004
Read: GUEST
Subj: CONDX INFO Jan. 2
Path: IZ3LSV<IQ2LB<IK1NHL<CX2SA<VE2RXY<VE3UIL<JE7YGF<JH4XSY
Sent: 140102/1038z @:JH4XSY.13.JNET1.JPN.AS [PM95VU SOKA] obcm1.07b12
From: JN1VSI @ JH4XSY.13.JNET1.JPN.AS (Ohmori)
To: CONDX @ JPN
X-Info: Sent with login password
[ WWV/WWVH Geophysical Alert Message ]
Solar Flux : 1/ 1 ...160
A-index : 1/ 1 ... 12
K-index : 1/ 2 ... 00h 03h 06h 09h UT
3 3 4 4
as of Jan. 2 09h UT
Space weather for the past 24 hours has been moderate.
Radio blackouts reaching the R2 level occurred.
Space weather for the next 24 hours is predicted to be minor.
Geomagnetic storms reaching the G1 level are expected.
Radio blackouts reaching the R1 level are expected.
[ 予報 ( URSIGRAM による ) ]
2日から1日間 フレア FActive ( Mｸﾗｽﾌﾚｱのｭ生確率50% )
2日から1日間 プロトンFQuiet
2日から1日間 地ﾄ･気 FMinor storm expected (A30orK5)
[ 過尭１週間の太陽E地ﾄ･気活動 ] SSN 以外は URSIGRAM (Geoalert WWA)
SSN : 太陽黒点相対潜 (NICT 情報通信研究機構 ｭ表値)
SF : 2800MHz ｿｰﾗｰﾌﾗｯｸｽ TEN : TENFLAREの潜 Ak : 地ﾄ･気活動
M : Mｸﾗｽ太陽ﾌﾚｱ潜 X : Xｸﾗｽ太陽ﾌﾚｱ潜
NEW : 新出現黒点群潜 SP : 黒点群総潜 SQ : 黒点群総面積
DATE | SSN SF TEN Ak M X NEW SP SQ
----------+---------------------------------------
12/26 | 66 125 0 3 0 0 1 8 450
12/27 | 74 131 0 3 0 0 1 8 570
12/28 | 66 135 0 3 0 0 0 7 570
12/29 | 82 137 1 5 1 0 1 7 520
12/30 | 64 143 0 3 0 0 0 7 510
12/31 | 94 145 1 6 1 0 4 8 490
1/ 1 | 73 160 0 12 1 0 1 9 610
----------+---------------------------------------
地ﾄ･気F3ﾄ條ﾔごとの Kﾄw潜 ΣK:Kﾄw潜合計AMaxK:最大のKﾄw潜
| ( 静穏 0 <--> 9 活ｭ ) | 気象庁(柿岡)
DATE | Boulder, USA | Planetary | ΣK MaxK
----------+-------------------+-------------------+-----------
12/26 | 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 | 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 | 5 2
12/27 | 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 | 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 | 1 1
12/28 | 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 1 | 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 | 5 2
12/29 | 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 1 | 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 0 | 6 2
12/30 | 0 0 2 1 1 2 1 0 | 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 | 2 1
12/31 | 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 | 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 1 | 11 2
1/ 1 | 0 1 2 3 5 3 3 2 | 1 1 1 3 5 4 3 3 | 18 4
----------+-------------------+-------------------+-----------
DATE | 現象敦
----------+-----------------------------------------------------------
1/ 1 | 全黒点 7群 36点B 太陽活動は活ｭA地ﾄ･気はやや活ｭ
| Reg.1936 全18点 面積=210AReg.1944 全 3点 面積=250
| Reg.1937 衰退B Reg.1934 も太陽面の裏側へ
| Reg.1944 太陽面の東端から出現
| Reg.1936で 18:40UT M9.9/2B 中規模ﾌﾚｱｭ生A18:52 最大A19:03
終了
| Reg.1940で 07:21UT C3.2/SF
| Reg.1944で 06:45UT C2.1A15:40UT C6.5 フレアｭ生
----------+-----------------------------------------------------------
しぶんぎ座流星群 出現期間:1呼1日`1呼7日A極大:1呼4日頃
SSN呼平均値 12呼:90.3 SSN予想値:1呼=61,2呼=60,3呼=59 (SIDCｭ表)
黒点群位置 ( )内は黒点群面積
DATE | Reg.1931 Reg.1934 Reg.1936 Reg.1937 Reg.1938
----------+------------------------------------------------------------------
12/30 | S14/W87(130) S17/W68(140) S16/W22(180) S12/E05( 10) S09/E22( 50)
12/31 | @ (西没) @ S16/W83( 80) S16/W36(280) S12/W09( 10) S09/E09( 30)
1/ 1 | @@@@@@ @ (西没) @ S16/W49(210) @ (衰退) @ S12/W03( 30)
----------+------------------------------------------------------------------
DATE | Reg.1940 Reg.1941 Reg.1942 Reg.1943 Reg.1944
----------+------------------------------------------------------------------
| @ (出現) @ @ (出現) @ @ (東出) @ @ (東出)
12/31 | S12/W44( 20) S13/W22( 30) N10/E62( 20) S11/E67( 20) @ (東出)
1/ 1 | S12/W59( 40) S12/W34( 40) N10/E49( 20) S11/E57( 20) S07/E75(250)
----------+------------------------------------------------------------------
[ ＳＳＮ呼平均値 ] 確定値 ( ):ﾄb定値 [ ]:予想値
2014N 1呼 S.I.D.C. ｭ表
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012
NOV. DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUN. JUL. AUG. SEP. OCT.
61.8 40.8 62.9 38.1 57.9 72.4 78.7 52.5 (57.0)(66.0)(36.9)(85.6)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2013 2014
NOV. DEC. JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUN. JUL. AUG. SEP. OCT. NOV. DEC.
(77.6)(90.3)[ 61][ 60][ 59][ 58][ 57][ 56][ 55][ 54][ 53][ 52][ 51][ 50]
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
[ DX NEWS compiled from 425 DX NEWS ]
Start- End - Callsign --- QTH --------------------------------
1/ 3- 1/31 6W7SK Senegal
1/ 4- 1/12 5H1VC Zanzibar Island (AF-032)
1/ 8- 1/28 3Z120SMK,II2SMK Maximilian Kolbe memorial station
1/ 8- 8/14 HF0RN,HF120MK M. Kolbe memorial stations
1/ 8- 8/14 SN0MMK,SN0RN,SN120MK,SN120MMK,SN75RN M. Kolbe memorial stations
1/11- 1/12 FM/SP's Martinique (NA-107)
--------------------------------------------------------------
ﾜ SIDCのｭ表した12呼のSSN呼平均値は 90.3 でA高い値を保っていますB
今後 1呼A2呼A3呼の予測値はA61A60A59 ですB
FB DX !!! de JN1VSI
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