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DE KD8TTE NR 3674
R 251230Z NOV
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Product: 3-Day Forecast
Issued: 2020 Nov 25 1230 UTC
Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center

A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Nov 25-Nov 27 2020 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Nov 25-Nov 27 2020

            Nov 25     Nov 26     Nov 27
00-03UT        1          3          2     
03-06UT        3          2          3     
06-09UT        1          2          2     
09-12UT        2          2          2     
12-15UT        1          3          3     
15-18UT        1          3          2     
18-21UT        1          3          2     
21-00UT        2          3          1     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  No
significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Nov 25-Nov 27 2020

              Nov 25  Nov 26  Nov 27
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Nov 25-Nov 27 2020

              Nov 25        Nov 26        Nov 27
R1-R2           10%           10%           15%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts.

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