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LU9DCE > NEWS 07.11.26 12:40l 204 Lines 6363 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 27265_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 07-NOV
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6IHL<IK7NXU<HB9ON<HB9ON<PI8ZTM<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 261107/1131Z 27265@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2026 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT NOV 7 08:17:02 UTC 2026
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT NOV 7 08:17:02 UTC 2026.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT NOV 7 08:17:02 UTC 2026
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT NOV 7 08:17:02 UTC
2026.
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SPC NOV 7, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST FRI NOV 06 2026
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT FORECAST ACROSS THE U.S. TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER CYCLONE AND ATTENDANT TROUGH WILL PIVOT EAST/NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES TODAY. IN THE WAKE OF
THE TROUGH, A SURFACE LOW WILL DEEPEN OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND.
A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE WITH THE LOW INTO THE
ATLANTIC AND GULF WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING. ISOLATED ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE UPPER
CYCLONE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND, THOUGH SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
ALONG SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FRONT NEAR THE GULF COAST, ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN/CENTRAL TX. AN UPPER CYCLONE MOVING OUT OF NORTHERN MX WILL
BOLSTER ISENTROPIC ASCENT BEHIND THE SOUTHWARD MOVING FRONT
SUPPORTING SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
MEAGER AND NOT SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE STORMS.
ELSEWHERE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FAVOR DRY
AND STABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION MAY BE ACROSS THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA WHERE SHALLOW
CONVECTION AHEAD OF ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES OVERNIGHT.
..LYONS/HALBERT-K.. 11/07/2026
READ MORE
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SPC NOV 7, 2026 0700 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0700Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
NO SEVERE THREAT IS FORECAST ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL U.S. SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.
...DISCUSSION...
AT UPPER-LEVELS OVER THE U.S. ON SUNDAY, A TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE NORTHEAST AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. FURTHER SOUTH, A LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY
ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, A MOIST AND WEAKLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE OVER PARTS SOUTHERN, CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS AIRMASS DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. STORMS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT. NO
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED, AND NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE U.S. SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 11/07/2026
READ MORE
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SPC NOV 7, 2026 0830 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0830Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2026
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ACROSS THE U.S. MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.
...DISCUSSION...
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE CENTRAL
AND NORTHERN U.S. TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON MONDAY, AS AN
UPPER-LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE UPPER-LEVEL LOW, A MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH TEXAS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
DURING THE DAY WITHIN THIS AIRMASS. NO SEVERE THREAT IS FORECAST.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CONTINENTAL
U.S MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 11/07/2026
READ MORE
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SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2026
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY OVER A NARROW
SECTION OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. PORTIONS OF THE SAN GABRIEL, SANTA
MONICA, AND SANTA SUSANA MOUNTAINS, ALONG WITH THE SAN GABRIEL
VALLEY, WILL EXPERIENCE WEAK TO MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS FROM LATE
THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED NORTHEASTERLY OFF-SHORE
WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH (GUSTING TO 30-40 MPH) ARE EXPECTED WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15-20%. FORECAST FUELS GUIDANCE HAS ERCS AT THE
90TH SEASONAL PERCENTILE FOR THE REGION, DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY
CRITICALLY-LOW 10-HOUR AND 100-HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE. LOCALLY
CRITICAL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR WHERE FAVORED BY TERRAIN, BUT
CURRENTLY APPEAR TO BE TOO LOCALIZED TO WARRANT ADDITIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.
..HALBERT-K.. 11/07/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2026
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A MINIMAL FIRE-WEATHER THREAT IS FORECAST FOR SUNDAY OWING TO A LACK
OF RECEPTIVE FUELS AND RELATIVELY CALM METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CONUS ARE PREDOMINANTLY CHARACTERIZED BY HIGH
PRESSURE, COOLER TEMPERATURES, AND GENERALLY WEAK SURFACE WINDS.
RECENT RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK WILL ALSO SERVE TO GENERALLY
LIMIT FUEL RECEPTIVENESS.
..HALBERT-K.. 11/07/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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