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LU9DCE > NEWS 03.11.26 12:50l 318 Lines 9468 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 26885_LU9DCE
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 03-NOV
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<HB9ON<HB9ON<PI8ZTM<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 261103/1130Z 26885@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2026 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 703
WW 703 TORNADO AR KS MO OK 030135Z - 030900Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 703
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
735 PM CST MON NOV 2 2026
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 735 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO POSE SOME RISK FOR SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS AS THEY SPREAD
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. A COUPLE
OF EMBEDDED TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF JOPLIN MO TO
20 MILES EAST OF DURANT OK. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 701...WW 702...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...GLEASON
READ MORE
========================================
SPC TORNADO WATCH 703 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0703 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E GYI TO
15 ENE MLC TO 15 S CNU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2440
..MOORE..11/03/26
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 703
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-033-131-143-030840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CRAWFORD SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
KSC021-037-030840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
MOC011-097-119-145-030840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON JASPER MCDONALD
READ MORE
========================================
SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE NOV 3 08:46:14 UTC 2026
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE NOV 3 08:46:14 UTC
2026.
========================================
SPC NOV 3, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CST MON NOV 02 2026
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY INTO THE LOWER TO MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS WITH POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND
PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY FROM THE
SABINE AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS NORTHWARD INTO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
...SABINE RIVER VALLEY/LOWER TO MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS TODAY, AS
CYCLONIC SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PRECEDES THE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER
TO MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM, A NORTH-TO-SOUTH
CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE ALONG AND AHEAD OF A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. NEAR THE MOIST AXIS, A LONG BROKEN LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD FROM
WESTERN MISSOURI SOUTHWARD INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS AND EAST TEXAS.
THIS LINE WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD INTO THE LOWER TO MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY DURING THE DAY. AS IT DOES SO, SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
AHEAD OF THE LINE ALLOWING FOR WEAK DESTABILIZATION. ANY POTENTIAL
FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE MINIMIZED BY ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER.
OVER THE TOP OF THIS AIRMASS, MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
WILL BE PRESENT, WHICH WILL SUPPORT AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LINE SEGMENTS THAT CAN BECOME
SEMI-ORGANIZED WILL HAVE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS.
IN ADDITION, A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
QLCS STRUCTURES. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE MINIMIZED BY POOR LAPSE
RATES. THE THREAT COULD PERSIST INTO THE LATE EVENING OR EVEN INTO
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS THE LINE MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER TO
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, TOWARD A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET.
..BROYLES/WEINMAN.. 11/03/2026
READ MORE
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SPC NOV 3, 2026 0700 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0700Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE STORMS ARE UNLIKELY ON WEDNESDAY.
...SYNOPSIS...
A STACKED LOW WILL MOVE FROM IA INTO UPPER MI ON WEDNESDAY, WITH A
LEADING UPPER WAVE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE OH VALLEY. BEHIND
THIS SYSTEM, ANOTHER PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE FOUR CORNERS STATES.
AS THE SURFACE LOW OCCLUDES AND MOVES INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES,
THE SOUTHWARD-EXTENDING SURFACE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN ACROSS THE OH/TN
VALLEYS. MID TO UPPER 60S F DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEAST, WITH DRIER AIR FARTHER NORTH INTO THE MID ATLANTIC WITH
HIGH PRESSURE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY DURING THE DAY
AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY FROM KY SOUTHWARD INTO AL/GA, WITH POOR LAPSE
RATES AND THE EJECTING SYSTEM TO THE NORTH MITIGATING STRONG STORM
POTENTIAL.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF A FEW STRONG STORMS NEAR A WARM FRONT THAT
WILL LIFT ACROSS EASTERN AL INTO WESTERN GA DURING THE DAY. AT THIS
TIME, IT APPEARS THE VERY POOR LOW TO MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
MITIGATE STORM SEVERITY.
..JEWELL.. 11/03/2026
READ MORE
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SPC NOV 3, 2026 0830 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0830Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0210 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2026
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE STORMS ARE UNLIKELY ON THURSDAY.
...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTO THE
MS VALLEY WHERE IT WILL PHASE WITH THE TROUGH EXTENDING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. THIS COMBINED POSITIVE-TILT TROUGH WILL THEN
SWEEP EASTWARD TOWARD THE OH AND TN VALLEYS OVERNIGHT.
WELL AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH, SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING 60S F
DEWPOINTS NORTHWARD ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC, THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL
BE RELATIVELY WEAK. ISOLATED DAYTIME CONVECTION MAY OCCUR FROM GA
INTO THE CAROLINAS, BUT LAPSE RATES AND SHEAR WILL BOTH BE POOR.
SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY PERSIST OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH
DEVELOPS AND SOUTHWEST LOW-LEVEL WINDS MAINTAIN A MOIST AIR MASS.
..JEWELL.. 11/03/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1147 PM CST MON NOV 02 2026
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LOW ACROSS THE CONTIGUOUS U.S.
TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER
THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS FUELS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS, NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST. DRY CONDITIONS INCLUDING
RH AS LOW AS 30% AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST TODAY AMID RECEPTIVE FUELS. HOWEVER, WEAK
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS INFLUENCED BY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
EXTENDING INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC SHOULD MAINTAIN LIGHT WINDS THROUGH
TODAY, REDUCING THE OVERALL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
..WILLIAMS.. 11/03/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CST MON NOV 02 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
MINIMAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS FOR
D2/WEDNESDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH COMPLEMENTED BY A SURFACE COLD FRONT
AND ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL PUSH INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST, GREAT
LAKES AND APPALACHIANS. DESPITE LINGERING DRY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF
THE UPPER TROUGH AMID POCKETS OF RECEPTIVE FUELS ACROSS THE
NORTHEASTERN U.S., SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT, PRECLUDING
INTRODUCTION OF FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS.
..WILLIAMS.. 11/03/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
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