| |
LU9DCE > NEWS 02.10.26 18:39l 241 Lines 7513 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 23278_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 02-OCT
Path: IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IR1UAW<IW2OHX<GB7OSW<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 261002/1615Z 23278@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2026 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI OCT 2 08:21:02 UTC 2026
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI OCT 2 08:21:02 UTC 2026.
========================================
SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI OCT 2 08:21:02 UTC 2026
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI OCT 2 08:21:02 UTC
2026.
========================================
SPC OCT 2, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS LOW TODAY AND TONIGHT.
...MID-ATLANTIC VICINITY...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TODAY,
BRINGING SOME MODESTLY ENHANCED MIDLEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE REGION AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE FRONT THIS MORNING
FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE MID-SOUTH. LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE EASTWARD ADVANCING FONT AND BAND OF CONVECTION WILL
RESULT IN PERSISTENT CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR.
ADDITIONALLY, MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN POOR. AS A
RESULT, INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODEST (500-750 MLCAPE)
DESPITE 60S F DEWPOINTS. DEEP-LAYER FLOW WILL LARGELY REMAIN
PARALLEL TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARY, AND STRONGER FLOW WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST WITH TIME. IF POCKETS OF STRONGER HEATING CAN OCCUR, A FEW
STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM NORTHERN VA
INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. HOWEVER, OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS
LIMITED.
..LEITMAN/HALBERT.. 10/02/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC OCT 2, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1058 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2026
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE U.S. ON SATURDAY.
...SYNOPSIS...
ON SATURDAY, A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP INTO ONTARIO, WITH A
LEADING SPEED MAX MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT
BASIN, WITH RELATIVELY HIGH MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS EXTENDING INTO THE
SOUTHEAST.
AT THE SURFACE, A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL MOVE FROM MI INTO THE
NORTHEAST, WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. NORTHEASTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL THUS RELEGATE
THE MORE ROBUST MOISTURE/DEWPOINTS TO THE GULF COAST STATES.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE DAY OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH, AS TEMPERATURES
ALOFT COOL. MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MINIMAL, BUT WEAK
ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING
FLASHES.
OTHERWISE, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE GULF
COAST AND EXTENDING INTO THE CAROLINAS AS THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH HEATING. WEAK SHEAR WILL FURTHER PRECLUDE
SEVERE POSSIBILITIES.
..JEWELL.. 10/02/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC OCT 2, 2026 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT FRI OCT 02 2026
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT FORECAST FOR SUNDAY.
...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN SUNDAY AS THE
PARENT LOW MOVES OUT OF ONTARIO AND INTO WESTERN QUEBEC. A LEADING
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL QUICKLY MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE
NORTHEAST, WITH AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT. HOWEVER, LITTLE IF ANY
INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS.
BEHIND THE LEADING WAVE, A SECONDARY AND STRONGER BACKSIDE SPEED MAX
WILL NOSE INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES LATE IN THE DAY, WITH ANOTHER
SURFACE HIGH BUILDING ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDWEST.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM THE TX COAST TO
FL, WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY (500-1000 J/KG MLCAPE)
WILL EXIST. WEAK SHEAR AND WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL NOT FAVOR
SEVERE STORMS.
..JEWELL.. 10/02/2026
READ MORE
========================================
SPC OCT 2, 2026 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 AM CDT FRI OCT 02 2026
VALID 051200Z - 101200Z
...DISCUSSION...
SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL FROM MONDAY/D4 TO FRIDAY/D8 IS FORECAST TO BE
MINIMAL.
A DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN CANADA AND THE
NORTHEASTERN USA MON/D4 INTO TUE/D5, WITH A COLD FRONT ALREADY
OFFSHORE AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST. BEHIND THE
EJECTING UPPER TROUGH, MODERATE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES, WITH SOME TROUGH AMPLIFICATION
POSSIBLE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WED/D6 INTO FRI/D8. THAT SAID, A
MINIMALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL EXIST OVER MOST OF THE CONUS, WITH
LITTLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. A FEW STRONGER STORMS CANNOT
BE RULED OUT AROUND THU/D7 OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST BENEATH THE
NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME, BUT THIS LOW-PREDICTABILITY SCENARIO WILL
DEPEND HEAVILY ON ENOUGH MOISTURE RETURNING TO THE REGION. AS SUCH,
NO AREAS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST.
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 AM CDT FRI OCT 02 2026
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
...SYNOPSIS...
NO FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY. FUEL RECEPTIVENESS
HAS LARGELY BEEN TEMPERED ACROSS MUCH THE U.S. OWING TO RECENT
WETTING RAINFALL. IN THE AREAS WHERE FUELS REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY,
CALM SURFACE CONDITIONS WILL LIMIT POTENTIAL FOR WILDFIRE SPREAD.
..HALBERT.. 10/02/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0107 AM CDT FRI OCT 02 2026
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
AT LEAST ELEVATED FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE
CONTRIBUTES TO DRY AND BREEZY EASTERLY OFF-SHORE FLOW. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY MINIMUMS OF 15-20% AND WINDS OF 10-15 MPH (POTENTIALLY
GUSTING HIGHER IN THE VICINITY OF THE SAN DIEGO FOOTHILLS) SHOULD
OVERLAP WITH MODESTLY DRY FUELS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
..HALBERT.. 10/02/2026
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
READ MORE
========================================
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
PYTHON PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 1.1
NEW DOMAIN LU9DCE.KOZOW.COM
PyCode - AI-powered coding assistant in your termina
https://pycode.kozow.com/
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
