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LU9DCE > NEWS     09.05.26 14:05l 404 Lines 16360 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 13171_LU9DCE
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 09-MAY
Path: IZ3LSV<ED1ZAC<GB7CIP<VK2RZ<VE3CGR<LU9DCE
Sent: 260509/1130Z 13171@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.25


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                      PYTHON SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
                     COPYRIGHT 2026 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT MAY  9 08:46:01 UTC 2026

NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT MAY  9 08:46:01 UTC 2026.

========================================

SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT MAY  9 08:46:01 UTC 2026

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT MAY  9 08:46:01 UTC
2026.

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SPC MAY 9, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN AND
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE TO VERY LARGE
HAIL, LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE IN PARTS OF WESTERN INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPARSER LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
OCCURRENCES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES, THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS, THE GREAT LAKES, AND POSSIBLY MID-ATLANTIC.

...SYNOPSIS...

A BROAD, CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME IS FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS
EAST OF THE ROCKIES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A NUMBER OF
EMBEDDED VORTICITY MAXIMA MOVING THROUGH THAT LARGE-SCALE PATTERN
WILL POTENTIALLY AID IN STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT. THE
FIRST OF WHICH WILL TRACK FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS BY SATURDAY EVENING. A STRONGER DISTURBANCE WILL BE
ATTENDED BY MID/UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS WHILE PROGRESSING THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL, WEAKER DISTURBANCES
WILL TRAVERSE THE GULF COAST STATES AND MID-ATLANTIC REGION.

AT THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE GREAT LAKES
DISTURBANCE WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THAT REGION DURING THE DAY WITH
THE TRAILING EXTENSION OF THE FRONT ADVANCING SOUTH INTO CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE FRONT IN NORTHWEST KS SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITH A PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGH/DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTH FROM THE LOW THROUGH THE EASTERN
OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO WEST-CENTRAL TX. ELSEWHERE, A FRONT STRETCHING
FROM SOUTH TX THROUGH THE SHELF WATERS OF THE NORTHERN GULF INTO
NORTH FL AS OF LATE EVENING WILL ATTEMPT TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT. THE ADVANCE OF THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
GULF COAST MAY BE IMPEDED BY EARLY-DAY THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH
THOSE AREAS.


...WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS...

THE COLD FRONT THAT HAS PUSHED INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS EVENING
IS EXPECTED TO WASH OUT WITH INITIALLY MODEST MOISTURE RETURN
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE TROUGH/DRYLINE WITH DEWPOINTS INCREASING
THROUGH THE 50S SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE FAR EASTERN OK/TX
PANHANDLES INTO WESTERN OK. THE MOISTURE INCREASE COMBINED WITH
STEEP LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT AN INITIALLY NARROW
AXIS OF 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON.

WHILE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH
THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE, STRONG HEATING WEST OF THE
DRYLINE AND RESULTANT DEEPENING CIRCULATIONS ALONG IT ARE EXPECTED
TO YIELD ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED, HIGH-BASED STORMS BY LATE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. 40-50 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL STORM MODES WITH LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL BEING
THE PREDOMINANT HAZARD.

CONSIDERABLE STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK SATURDAY EVENING, WHICH WILL ENHANCE
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND THE INFLUX OF GREATER, BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE
CONTENT. THERE IS SOME MODEL VARIABILITY IN THE DEGREE OF EVENING
MOISTENING THAT OCCURS, WITH THE RAP REMAINING NOTABLY DRIER THAN
THE NAM. SHOULD THE NAM SCENARIO BE CLOSER TO CORRECT, TORNADO
POTENTIAL WOULD INCREASE DURING THE EVENING WITH ANY SUSTAINED
SUPERCELLS FROM WESTERN INTO CENTRAL OK. AN 5% UNCONDITIONAL
PROBABILITY AND CONDITIONAL-INTENSITY GROUP 1 HAVE BEEN ADDED TO
ACCOUNT FOR THAT POSSIBILITY.


...GULF COAST...

CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS OR A QUASI-LINEAR MCS IS EXPECTED TO BE
ONGOING AT 12Z SATURDAY OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY, AIDED BY A
LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOIST ADVECTION REGIME. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
THAT ACTIVITY MAY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ATOP A SHALLOW, NEAR-SURFACE
INVERSION AND ROOTED WITHIN A MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH MUCAPE UPWARDS
OF 1500 J/KG. THE 00Z CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS SUGGEST THAT
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AND POTENTIALLY BECOME MORE
SURFACE-BASED ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST FROM LATE
MORNING INTO AFTERNOON. GENERALLY WEAK LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE
EXPECTED TO LIMIT UPDRAFT INTENSITY, DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF 40-50
KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. NONETHELESS, THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS,
ESPECIALLY IF A COLD POOL CAN ORGANIZE.


...GREAT LAKES...

THE PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE OVERLY MOIST ON
SATURDAY WITH DEWPOINTS LARGELY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S.
HOWEVER, STEEPENING LOW/MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO YIELD
A MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF AROUND 500
J/KG. THE DESTABILIZATION PROCESS WILL COINCIDE WITH GRADUALLY
VEERING LOW-LEVEL WINDS, WHICH WILL TEND TO LIMIT THE MAGNITUDE OF
LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.

FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH MENTIONED
IN THE SYNOPSIS COUPLED WITH CONVERGENCE/LIFT ALONG THE FRONT ARE
EXPECTED TO FOSTER A BROKEN BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS INITIALLY ACROSS
EASTERN LOWER MI BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO FORM FARTHER SOUTH ALONG THE FRONT IN NORTHERN OH WITH THE
CONVECTIVE BAND RAPIDLY MOVING EAST INTO PORTIONS OF WESTERN NY AND
NORTHWEST PA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. COLD TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL FAVOR ISOLATED OCCURRENCES OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.


...CENTRAL WYOMING INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS...

INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS/FORCING FOR ASCENT PRECEDING THE SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WILL OVERSPREAD A
STEEP-LAPSE-RATE, BUT LIMITED-MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, FOSTERING THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDELY SCATTERED, HIGH-BASED
STORMS. THE PRESENCE OF 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL
SUPPORT SOME STORM ORGANIZATION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
OCCURRENCES OF LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.


...MID-ATLANTIC STATES...

A COUPLE WEAK DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE AN AREA OF SHOWERS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF PA AND SOUTHERN NY INTO NEW ENGLAND SATURDAY
MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. WEAK DESTABILIZATION ON THE SOUTHERN
FRINGE OF THAT CLOUD CANOPY MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM THE DE RIVER VALLEY INTO PARTS
OF MD AMIDST A WEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF ONLY A FEW
HUNDRED J/KG. BOTH LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE RELATIVELY
STRONG, AND THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER, ON
THE CONDITION THAT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY DEVELOPS TO SUSTAIN
SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORMS.

..MEAD/WEINMAN.. 05/09/2026


READ MORE

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SPC MAY 9, 2026 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUST
APPEAR LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM PARTS OF WEST AND
CENTRAL TEXAS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ARK-LA-TEX AND LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. HAILSTONES GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
SEVERE WIND GUSTS ABOVE 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
WEST-CENTRAL, CENTRAL AND NORTH TEXAS.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARK-LA-TEX/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
A POSITIVELY-TILTED MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SUNDAY. AT THE SURFACE, A
COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SOUTHWARD ACROSS AN AREA FROM WEST AND NORTH
TEXAS INTO THE ARK-LA-TEX. TO THE SOUTH OF THE FRONT, SURFACE
DEWPOINTS WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 65 TO 70 F RANGE, WHICH WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE DESTABILIZATION BY AFTERNOON. SURFACE-BASED
CONVECTIVE INITIATION IS EXPECTED AROUND MIDDAY, AS SURFACE WARMING
TAKES PLACE AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES NEAR THE FRONT.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP, WITH A
LARGE COMPLEX OF STORMS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL TEXAS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

SOUTH OF THE FRONT OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, MODEL FORECASTS
INCREASE MLCAPE INTO THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE BY AFTERNOON. ALSO,
850-500 MB LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8 C/KM
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS, COMBINED WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 35 TO 40
KNOT RANGE, WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL. HAILSTONES GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT DESTABILIZE THE MOST, PARTICULARLY ACROSS
PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS. IN ADDITION, 0-3 KM
LAPSE RATES ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VERY STEEP, EXCEEDING 9 C/KM IN
SOME AREAS. AS CELLS INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND MERGE DURING THE MID
TO LATE AFTERNOON, MCS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE VERY STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT A WIND-DAMAGE THREAT. IF A COLD
POOL CAN ORGANIZE, THEN THE WIND-DAMAGE THREAT WOULD LIKELY INCREASE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON, AND WIND GUSTS ABOVE 70 MPH WOULD BE
POSSIBLE.

FURTHER EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE ARK-LA-TEX AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY, CONVECTIVE COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE A BIT MORE WIDELY
SPACED. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MODERATE DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR A SEVERE THREAT. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

...SOUTHEAST...
A VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE ON SUNDAY FROM THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST STATES EASTWARD TO THE ATLANTIC. SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL
BE IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S F, WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY
DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL BE
LIMITED, CONVERGENCE BOUNDARIES APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP INLAND FROM
THE COASTAL AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. STORMS THAT CAN FORM ALONG
THESE FAVORED ZONES MAY HAVE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WIND
GUSTS, MAINLY DUE TO PRECIPITATION LOADING.

..BROYLES.. 05/09/2026


READ MORE

========================================

SPC MAY 9, 2026 0730 UTC DAY 3 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

SPC 0730Z DAY 3 OUTLOOK

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST STATES NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE
CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED
ON MONDAY FROM PARTS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES EASTWARD TO
THE SOUTHERN ATLANTIC SEABOARD.

...CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST STATES/CAROLINAS...
AT MID-LEVELS, HEIGHTS WILL FALL ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY, AS
A TROUGH PROGRESSES EASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES. AT
THE SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, A MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE
INLAND ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND NORTHEASTWARD INTO MUCH OF
GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA AND FAR SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT, AND NEAR COASTAL CONVERGENCE ZONES. STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEEP LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH MULTICELLS THAT DEVELOP IN
THE AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 05/09/2026


READ MORE

========================================

SPC MAY 9, 2026 DAY 4-8 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

DAY 4-8 OUTLOOK

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026

VALID 121200Z - 171200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...TUESDAY/DAY 4 AND WEDNESDAY/DAY 5....
ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE IN
PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON TUESDAY, AND INTO
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE TROUGH EACH DAY, BUT WEAK INSTABILITY
SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL.

...THURSDAY/DAY 6 TO SATURDAY/DAY 8...
ON THURSDAY, A SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL U.S. A NORTH-TO-SOUTH AXIS OF INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF THE RIDGE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS. ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG PARTS OF THIS CORRIDOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ON FRIDAY, A SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. MODERATE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE
IN PLACE OVER A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS FROM EASTERN KANSAS
SOUTHWARD INTO OKLAHOMA, WHERE ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ON SATURDAY, STRONG LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO
DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S., AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. NEAR THIS TROUGH, SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE. MODERATE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY FROM OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD
INTO WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS.

CONSIDERING THE LAST FEW DAYS OF THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD, RECENT
MODELS HAVE SHOWN SUBSTANTIAL VARIABILITY FROM RUN TO RUN. SCENARIOS
HAVE BEEN OUTLINED BASED ON MODEL CONSENSUS.  HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS
LOW CONCERNING POTENTIAL OUTCOMES, ESPECIALLY THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND.


READ MORE

========================================

SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK

SPC DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
BETWEEN A LARGE-SCALE RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST AND BROAD UPPER
TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE CONUS, A BELT OF
ENHANCED DEEP-LAYER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD A DRY
POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. OVER PARTS OF
WESTERN/CENTRAL ND, DIURNAL HEATING WILL RESULT IN A WELL-MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER WITH 20-30 PERCENT RH AMID 15-20 MPH SUSTAINED
NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS. THIS OVERLAP OF MODESTLY DRY/BREEZY
CONDITIONS OVER CRITICALLY DRY/RECEPTIVE FUELS WILL FAVOR ELEVATED
FIRE-WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE ELEVATED HIGHLIGHTS ARE GENERALLY
BOUNDED BY COOLER TEMPERATURES/HIGHER RH TO THE EAST, EXPECTED CLOUD
COVERAGE TO THE WEST (ACCOMPANYING A PASSING SHORTWAVE TROUGH), AND
A BAND OF ONGOING PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN ND.

FARTHER WEST, AREAS OF DRY/WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE SOUTHWEST. WHILE LOCALLY ELEVATED
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE, FUELS ARE GENERALLY UNSUPPORTIVE OF
LARGE FIRES AT THIS TIME.

..WEINMAN.. 05/09/2026

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...


READ MORE

========================================

SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK

SPC DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK

DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2026

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LIMITED OVERLAP OF WARM, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ATOP RECEPTIVE
FUELS WILL LIMIT FIRE-WEATHER CONCERNS ON SUNDAY.

..WEINMAN.. 05/09/2026

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...


READ MORE

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