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LU9DCE > ALERT 26.04.25 14:25l 539 Lines 15497 Bytes #273 (0) @ WW
BID : 1018_LU9DCE
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 25-APR25
Path: IZ3LSV<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 250425/0731Z 1018@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170
WW 170 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 242155Z - 250500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 455 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...STORMS WILL PERSIST WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
KANSAS-OKLAHOMA BORDER VICINITY, AS WELL AS OTHER PARTS OF
WEST-CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY
EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM EASTERN COLORADO, WHILE MCS
DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR ALONG THE KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER VICINITY.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST OF GARDEN
CITY KS TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF MEDICINE LODGE KS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW
168...WW 169...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
25025.
...GUYER
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 169
WW 169 SEVERE TSTM CO 242140Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 169
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ADDITIONAL STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON, ESPECIALLY ACROSS
EAST-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS WILL INCLUDE A COMBO OF
MULTICELLS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL EXPECTED TO BE THE
MOST PROBABLE SEVERE HAZARD.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST NORTHWEST
OF PUEBLO CO TO 35 MILES EAST OF LAMAR CO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION
OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...WW 167...WW 168...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
29025.
...GUYER
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 167
WW 167 TORNADO OK TX 242035Z - 250400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTH PLAINS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RAPIDLY
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR
AND BUOYANCY COMBINATIONS STRONGLY FAVOR INTENSE, DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS. LARGE TO GIANT HAIL WILL BE PROBABLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL. THE TORNADO RISK WILL LIKELY FOCUS FOR A FEW HOURS
DURING THE EARLY EVENING NEAR A RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARY DRAPED
OVER PARTS OF THE WATCH AREA.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF GUYMON OK TO 60
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TX. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 166...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 29015.
...SMITH
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0170 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 170
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HALBERT..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 170
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-025-033-047-055-057-067-069-075-077-081-083-093-095-
097-101-119-129-135-145-151-155-159-165-171-175-185-187-189-
250340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON CLARK
COMANCHE EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HARPER HASKELL
HODGEMAN KEARNY KINGMAN
KIOWA LANE MEADE
MORTON NESS PAWNEE
PRATT RENO RICE
RUSH SCOTT SEWARD
STAFFORD STANTON STEVENS
OKC003-059-151-250340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA HARPER WOODS
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 169 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0169 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CAO
TO 15 SW PUB TO 20 NW PUB TO 45 N LHX TO 10 WSW ITR TO 30 NW GLD.
..HALBERT..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-061-063-073-089-099-101-250340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY KIOWA KIT CARSON
LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
KSC071-109-199-203-250340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GREELEY LOGAN WALLACE
WICHITA
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 168 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0168 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 168
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0549
..DEAN..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 168
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
TXC003-033-043-079-103-105-115-135-151-165-173-219-227-279-317-
329-335-371-383-415-443-445-461-475-495-501-250240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BREWSTER
COCHRAN CRANE CROCKETT
DAWSON ECTOR FISHER
GAINES GLASSCOCK HOCKLEY
HOWARD LAMB MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL PECOS
REAGAN SCURRY TERRELL
TERRY UPTON WARD
WINKLER YOAKUM
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 167 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0167 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 167
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0553
..DEAN..04/25/25
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 167
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-139-250340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
TXC011-045-065-075-087-101-107-125-129-153-169-179-189-191-195-
211-233-263-269-295-303-305-341-345-357-375-381-393-421-433-437-
483-250340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DICKENS DONLEY
FLOYD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON KENT
KING LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE POTTER RANDALL
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 166 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0166 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE CLL
TO UTS TO 20 W LFK TO 20 SSW GGG TO 20 ENE TYR.
..HALBERT..04/24/25
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-073-185-347-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-471-250040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHEROKEE GRIMES
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
WALKER
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC MD 554
MD 0554 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170... FOR NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL
OK
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0554
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST INTO CENTRAL OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170...
VALID 250335Z - 250500Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 170
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SOME SEVERE THREAT WILL SPREAD EAST/SOUTHEAST LATE
TONIGHT, THOUGH THE LONGEVITY OF THE THREAT IS UNCERTAIN.
DISCUSSION...AFTER BEING CONFINED TO NORTHWEST OK FOR MUCH OF THE
EVENING, AN LONG-LIVED STORM CLUSTER HAS SHOWN SOME
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION OVER THE LAST HOUR. IN THE SHORT
TERM, THIS CLUSTER MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT OF HAIL, LOCALIZED
SEVERE GUSTS, AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO, AS IT MOVES THROUGH A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. HOWEVER,
INCREASING MLCINH WITH TIME AND SOUTHEASTWARD EXTENT RENDERS
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE LONGEVITY OF THE SEVERE THREAT INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THERE MAY BE SOME TENDENCY FOR THE ONGOING CLUSTER TO PROPAGATE
EASTWARD ALONG A WEAKLY CONFLUENT SURFACE BOUNDARY, WITH SOME
POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION ALONG/BEHIND THE TRAILING
OUTFLOW. THERE IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR ONGOING CONVECTION IN THE
TX PANHANDLE TO EVENTUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO
WEST-CENTRAL/NORTHWEST OK, WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT.
..DEAN.. 04/25/2025
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 36389957 36849814 36839746 36589707 36059714 35599765
35489826 35439880 35339944 35319976 35479992 35629996
35919993 36149995 36389957
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN
READ MORE
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SPC APR 25, 2025 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0746 PM CDT THU APR 24 2025
VALID 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO SOUTH PLAINS...
...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FROM
FROM EASTERN COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA,
THE PANHANDLES AND WEST TEXAS. VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE, ALONG
WITH A FEW TORNADOES.
...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS...
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS PERSIST THIS EVENING OVER WEST TX INCLUDING
THE PANHANDLE, WITH VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL IN PROGRESS. OTHER
SEVERE CELLS, SOME WITH TORNADIC CIRCULATION, PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST
OK WITHIN A CLUSTER, ALSO WITH DAMAGING HAIL AND WIND POTENTIAL.
GIVEN THE UNCAPPED AIR MASS ACROSS MOST OF THESE AREAS, STORMS
SHOULD PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS, AND THE INCREASING 850 MB WINDS OUT
OF THE SOUTH MAY FAVOR RIGHT MOVING SUPERCELLS. THE 00Z AMA SOUNDING
CONFIRMS THE LACK OF INHIBITION, SHOWING STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGH A
DEEP LAYER.
ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ALSO PERSIST OVER EASTERN CO, AND
NORTH OF THE TORNADIC NORTHWEST OK CLUSTER INTO SOUTHWEST KS.
FOR MORE INFORMATION, SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS 548, 549, 550, 551.
..JEWELL.. 04/25/2025
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