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LU9DCE > ALERT 05.08.24 09:33l 282 Lines 8792 Bytes #254 (0) @ WW
BID : 5441_LU9DCE
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 05-AUG24
Path: IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 240805/0731Z 5441@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 595
WW 595 TORNADO FL GA CW 042355Z - 051000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 595
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 PM EDT SUN AUG 4 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
SOUTHERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 755 PM
UNTIL 600 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...CONVECTIVE BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH DEBBY WILL CONTINUE TO
POSE A RISK FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND A TORNADO RISK. THE
ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTHWARD
THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF DEBBY.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF VALDOSTA GA TO 35
MILES SOUTHWEST OF AVON PARK FL. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 594...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 16030.
...SMITH
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 595 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0595 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 595
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE SGJ
TO 30 NW DAB TO 15 SW ORL TO 40 SW AGR.
..GOSS..08/05/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 595
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-017-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-049-053-057-065-
067-069-075-079-081-083-089-101-103-105-107-109-115-119-121-123-
125-127-050440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY COLUMBIA
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON HARDEE
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LAKE LEVY
MADISON MANATEE MARION
NASSAU PASCO PINELLAS
POLK PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
SARASOTA SUMTER SUWANNEE
TAYLOR UNION VOLUSIA
GAC027-039-049-065-101-173-185-299-050440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 594 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0594 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 594
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 WSW FMY
TO 15 NNW FMY TO 15 SW MLB.
..GOSS..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MFL...TAE...MLB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 594
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-015-017-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-049-053-057-
065-067-069-073-075-079-081-083-089-095-097-101-103-105-107-109-
115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-042340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CHARLOTTE CITRUS CLAY
COLUMBIA DIXIE DUVAL
FLAGLER GILCHRIST HAMILTON
HARDEE HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LAKE
LEON LEVY MADISON
MANATEE MARION NASSAU
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SEMINOLE
SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION VOLUSIA WAKULLA
GAC027-101-131-185-275-042340-
GA
READ MORE
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SPC MD 1819
MD 1819 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 595... FOR CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND
INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1819
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0911 PM CDT SUN AUG 04 2024
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND INTO FAR SOUTHERN
GEORGIA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 595...
VALID 050211Z - 050415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 595 CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL FLORIDA AND MAY EXTEND INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA IN THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS, WITHIN STRONGER CONVECTIVE BANDS SURROUNDING DEBBY.
DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS THAT DEBBY HAS CONTINUED MAKING
SLOW, GENERALLY NORTHWARD PROGRESS OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS,
WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTIVE BANDS NOW NEAR THE WEST-CENTRAL
FLORIDA GULF COAST. WHILE AN EARLIER TORNADO WAS REPORTED IN
NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA (UNION COUNTY), OBSERVED/ROTATING CELLS ARE
CURRENTLY CONFINED PRIMARILY TO WITHIN A COUPLE OF STRONG CONVECTIVE
BANDS WITHIN A ZONE FROM SOUTHWEST OF KVNC (VENICE, FL) NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE TAMPA AREA, AND THEN NORTHWARD TO NEAR AND NORTHWEST OF
KCNC (CRYSTAL RIVER AIRPORT, FL). HOWEVER, LESSER RISK REMAINS
POSSIBLE OVER A BROADER AREA EAST OF DEBBY'S CENTER.
..GOSS.. 08/05/2024
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
LAT...LON 28748378 29718378 30408349 30868202 30678134 29978077
29528085 29128146 28698149 27648183 27548197 26838256
27468307 28328318 28748378
READ MORE
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SPC AUG 5, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 PM CDT SUN AUG 04 2024
VALID 050100Z - 051200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA...
...SUMMARY...
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY MAY PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF
FLORIDA AND EXTREME SOUTHERN GEORGIA THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
AS IT INTENSIFIES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HAIL ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MONTANA, AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA/NORTHERN IOWA THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
...NORTHEAST...
SEVERE PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM NEW ENGLAND AS THE
THREAT HAS LARGELY WANED. A COUPLE OF STRONG STORMS MAY PERSIST IN
THE NEAR-TERM ACROSS PARTS OF VT/NH, BUT INTENSITY SHOULD DIMINISH
WITH SOUTHEAST EXTENT BY 02-03Z.
...SOUTHEAST MONTANA VICINITY...
THE SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN REMOVED WITH THE 01Z UPDATE. CONVECTION HAS
STRUGGLED TO INTENSIFY THIS EVENING AMID MEAGER INSTABILITY. WHILE
INSTABILITY DOES INCREASES MODESTLY INTO FAR SOUTHEAST MT, OVERALL
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODEST AND NOT A WIDESPREAD
AS PREVIOUS EXPECTED. SPORADIC STRONG GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINAL
HAIL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH ANY MORE INTENSE CELLS THAT DEVELOP, SO
THE MARGINAL RISK HAS BEEN MAINTAINED.
...FLORIDA...
A TORNADO RISK REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO
EXTREME GA AS BANDS FROM TS DEBBIE CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA
INTO THE MORNING HOURS. DEBBIE HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTHWARD
THROUGH THE DAY, LESSENING THE THREAT ACROSS THE KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN PENINSULA. AS SUCH, PROBABILITIES HAVE BEEN TRIMMED FROM
THESE AREAS, WHICH ARE ALSO SOUTH OF TORNADO WATCH 595.
...MINNESOTA/IOWA...
ONLY MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO SEVERE PROBABILITIES BASED ON
LATEST TRENDS IN CAMS GUIDANCE. ELEVATED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT WILL
POSE A SPORADIC RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTS.
..LEITMAN.. 08/05/2024
READ MORE
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