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LU9DCE > ALERT    27.09.24 08:33l 431 Lines 13131 Bytes #213 (0) @ WW
BID : 8189_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 27-SEP24
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<DK0WUE<VK5RSV<VK5LEX<VE3KPG<VA3TOK<LU9DCE
Sent: 240927/0730Z 8189@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM BPQ6.0.24

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 687

WW 687 TORNADO GA NC SC CW 270055Z - 271200Z
      

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 687
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
855 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN GEORGIA
  SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA
  SOUTH CAROLINA
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 855 PM
  UNTIL 800 AM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY

SUMMARY...LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE HELENE
WILL POSE A THREAT FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES THIS EVENING THROUGH MUCH
OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH OF VIDALIA GA TO 40
MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF FAYETTEVILLE NC. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 684...WW 685...WW 686...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 18050.

...GLEASON

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 686

WW 686 TORNADO FL GA CW 262350Z - 271000Z
      

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 686
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
750 PM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  FLORIDA
  SOUTHERN GEORGIA
  COASTAL WATERS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 750 PM
  UNTIL 600 AM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY

SUMMARY...LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE
HELENE WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR SEVERAL TORNADOES THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF
FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF WAYCROSS GA TO 15
MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF AVON PARK FL. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 683...WW 684...WW 685...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 19050.

...GLEASON

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 687 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0687 STATUS UPDATES
      

STATUS REPORT ON WW 687

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..JEWELL..09/27/24

ATTN...WFO...FFC...CHS...CAE...RAH...ILM...GSP...

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 687 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

GAC009-021-023-029-031-033-043-051-073-081-091-093-103-107-109-
125-141-153-163-165-167-169-175-179-181-183-189-191-209-235-245-
251-265-267-271-279-283-289-301-303-309-315-317-319-270440-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN              BIBB                BLECKLEY            
BRYAN                BULLOCH             BURKE               
CANDLER              CHATHAM             COLUMBIA            
CRISP                DODGE               DOOLY               
EFFINGHAM            EMANUEL             EVANS               
GLASCOCK             HANCOCK             HOUSTON             
JEFFERSON            JENKINS             JOHNSON             
JONES                LAURENS             LIBERTY             
LINCOLN              LONG                MCDUFFIE            
MCINTOSH             MONTGOMERY          PULASKI             
RICHMOND             SCREVEN             TALIAFERRO          
TATTNALL             TELFAIR             TOOMBS              
TREUTLEN             TWIGGS              WARREN              
WASHINGTON           WHEELER             WILCOX              
WILKES               WILKINSON           

NCC007-017-019-025-047-051-071-093-119-129-141-153-155-163-165-
179-270440-

READ MORE

      

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 686 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0686 STATUS UPDATES
      

STATUS REPORT ON WW 686

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..JEWELL..09/27/24

ATTN...WFO...JAX...MLB...TBW...TAE...

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 686 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-007-009-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-041-047-049-
053-055-057-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-089-095-097-101-103-
105-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-270440-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA              BAKER               BRADFORD            
BREVARD              CHARLOTTE           CITRUS              
CLAY                 COLUMBIA            DESOTO              
DIXIE                DUVAL               FLAGLER             
GILCHRIST            HAMILTON            HARDEE              
HERNANDO             HIGHLANDS           HILLSBOROUGH        
JEFFERSON            LAFAYETTE           LAKE                
LEE                  LEVY                MADISON             
MANATEE              MARION              NASSAU              
ORANGE               OSCEOLA             PASCO               
PINELLAS             POLK                PUTNAM              
ST. JOHNS            SARASOTA            SEMINOLE            
SUMTER               SUWANNEE            TAYLOR              
UNION                VOLUSIA             

GAC001-003-005-017-019-025-027-039-049-065-069-071-075-101-127-
155-161-173-185-229-275-277-287-299-305-321-270440-

READ MORE

      

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 685 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0685 STATUS UPDATES
      

STATUS REPORT ON WW 685

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GOSS..09/26/24

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 685 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC001-003-005-007-013-019-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-
059-063-065-067-073-077-079-089-107-109-121-123-125-129-133-
261940-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA              BAKER               BAY                 
BRADFORD             CALHOUN             CLAY                
COLUMBIA             DIXIE               DUVAL               
FLAGLER              FRANKLIN            GADSDEN             
GILCHRIST            GULF                HAMILTON            
HOLMES               JACKSON             JEFFERSON           
LAFAYETTE            LEON                LIBERTY             
MADISON              NASSAU              PUTNAM              
ST. JOHNS            SUWANNEE            TAYLOR              
UNION                WAKULLA             WASHINGTON          

GAC001-003-005-007-017-019-025-027-037-039-049-061-065-069-071-
075-087-095-099-101-127-131-155-161-173-177-185-201-205-229-239-
243-253-273-275-277-287-299-305-321-261940-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

READ MORE

      

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 684 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0684 STATUS UPDATES
      

STATUS REPORT ON WW 684

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GOSS..09/26/24

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...FFC...

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 684 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

GAC029-031-033-043-051-073-091-103-107-109-163-165-167-175-179-
181-183-189-191-209-245-251-267-271-279-283-303-309-319-
261940-

GA 
.    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRYAN                BULLOCH             BURKE               
CANDLER              CHATHAM             COLUMBIA            
DODGE                EFFINGHAM           EMANUEL             
EVANS                JEFFERSON           JENKINS             
JOHNSON              LAURENS             LIBERTY             
LINCOLN              LONG                MCDUFFIE            
MCINTOSH             MONTGOMERY          RICHMOND            
SCREVEN              TATTNALL            TELFAIR             
TOOMBS               TREUTLEN            WASHINGTON          
WHEELER              WILKINSON           

SCC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-037-039-049-053-
055-061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-261940-

SC 
.    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AIKEN                ALLENDALE           BAMBERG             

READ MORE

      

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SPC TORNADO WATCH 683 STATUS REPORTS

WW 0683 STATUS UPDATES
      

STATUS REPORT ON WW 683

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..GOSS..09/26/24

ATTN...WFO...MLB...MFL...TBW...JAX...

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 683 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC009-011-015-017-021-027-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-069-071-
075-081-083-085-086-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-111-115-117-
119-127-261940-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BREVARD              BROWARD             CHARLOTTE           
CITRUS               COLLIER             DESOTO              
GLADES               HARDEE              HENDRY              
HERNANDO             HIGHLANDS           HILLSBOROUGH        
INDIAN RIVER         LAKE                LEE                 
LEVY                 MANATEE             MARION              
MARTIN               MIAMI-DADE          MONROE              
OKEECHOBEE           ORANGE              OSCEOLA             
PALM BEACH           PASCO               PINELLAS            
POLK                 ST. LUCIE           SARASOTA            
SEMINOLE             SUMTER              VOLUSIA             

AMZ550-552-555-610-630-650-651-GMZ656-657-830-836-850-853-856-
261940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

READ MORE

      

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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI SEP 27 03:21:13 UTC 2024

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI SEP 27 03:21:13 UTC 2024.

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SPC SEP 27, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
      
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT THU SEP 26 2024

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR COASTAL
REGIONS OF NORTHEAST FL...GA...SC...AND SOUTHERN NC...

...SUMMARY...
SEVERAL TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE COASTAL
SOUTHEAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE HELENE. THE GREATEST
RELATIVE THREAT IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF FLORIDA INTO SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA, THE MIDLANDS AND LOW COUNTRY OF SOUTH CAROLINA, AND
SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA.

...FL/GA INTO THE CAROLINAS...
HURRICANE HELENE WILL BE MAKING LANDFALL THIS EVENING NEAR THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION, AND CONTINUE MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD
ACROSS GEORGIA INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, PER NHC FORECASTS. WIND
PROFILES ARE ALREADY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ACROSS A
BROAD REGION TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF HELENE, ACROSS PARTS OF FL/GA
INTO THE CAROLINAS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH WILL BECOME EXTREME LATER
TONIGHT FROM NORTH FL INTO EASTERN GA AND THE CAROLINAS, AS HELENE'S
LARGE AND INTENSE WIND FIELD SPREADS OVER THE REGION. 

LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS WITH AT LEAST TRANSIENT ROTATION ARE ONGOING
ACROSS PARTS OF FL/GA INTO THE CAROLINAS, AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EVENING. CAM GUIDANCE GENERALLY SUGGESTS THAT ONE OR
MORE BANDS OF SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP AND/OR PERSIST INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS PARTS OF GA/SC AND EVENTUALLY INTO NC BEFORE
12Z FRIDAY MORNING, IN ADVANCE OF AN INCREASINGLY PROMINENT MIDLEVEL
DRY SLOT. TROPICAL MOISTURE (WITH DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 70S F)
WILL ALSO BE DRAWN FARTHER INLAND DURING THIS TIME PERIOD, WITH
MLCAPE INCREASING TO NEAR OR ABOVE 1000 J/KG ACROSS COASTAL AREAS,
WITH GREATER THAN 500 J/KG FARTHER INLAND. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL
SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL NOCTURNAL TORNADOES.

..DEAN.. 09/27/2024

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