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LU9DCE > ALERT 04.08.24 09:33l 281 Lines 8129 Bytes #253 (0) @ WW
BID : 5400_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 04-AUG24
Path: IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 240804/0730Z 5400@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 593
WW 593 SEVERE TSTM MN SD WI 032325Z - 040600Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 593
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT SAT AUG 3 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING.
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL (DIAMETER 1 TO 2.5
INCHES) AND SEVERE GUSTS (60-70 MPH) WILL BE THE PRIMARY STORM MODE
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A LINEAR CLUSTER MAY
OCCUR LATER THIS EVENING WITH SEVERE GUSTS POSSIBLY BECOMING THE
MAIN HAZARD.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ORTONVILLE MN TO 80 MILES NORTHEAST OF MINNEAPOLIS MN. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 591...WW 592...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
30025.
...SMITH
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 593 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0593 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W RWF TO
35 N RWF TO 30 NW EAU.
..LEITMAN..08/04/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 593
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC013-015-019-037-053-067-079-085-093-103-123-129-139-143-163-
171-040440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH BROWN CARVER
DAKOTA HENNEPIN KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MEEKER
NICOLLET RAMSEY RENVILLE
SCOTT SIBLEY WASHINGTON
WRIGHT
WIC093-109-040440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE ST. CROIX
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 592 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0592 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE HKY
TO 35 N GSO TO 20 NW DAN TO 30 SW CHO TO 15 W CHO.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...RAH...GSP...RNK...CAE...AKQ...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 592
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-003-007-015-025-033-035-037-045-057-059-063-067-069-071-
077-081-085-091-093-097-105-109-119-123-125-131-135-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-185-197-040040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ALEXANDER ANSON
BERTIE CABARRUS CASWELL
CATAWBA CHATHAM CLEVELAND
DAVIDSON DAVIE DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GASTON
GRANVILLE GUILFORD HARNETT
HERTFORD HOKE IREDELL
LEE LINCOLN MECKLENBURG
MONTGOMERY MOORE NORTHAMPTON
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROCKINGHAM ROWAN
SCOTLAND STANLY STOKES
UNION VANCE WAKE
WARREN YADKIN
SCC021-023-025-039-047-055-057-059-063-071-079-081-083-087-091-
040040-
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 591 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0591 STATUS UPDATES
040-
STATUS REPORT ON WW 591
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE CHO
TO 20 WSW DCA TO 10 SW BWI TO 30 ENE HGR.
..THORNTON..08/03/24
ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...CTP...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 591
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-040040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD
DEC001-003-005-040040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
DCC001-040040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
READ MORE
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN AUG 4 03:31:07 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SUN AUG 4 03:31:07 UTC 2024.
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SPC AUG 4, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0813 PM CDT SAT AUG 03 2024
VALID 040100Z - 041200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE NEW JERSEY
VICINITY...
...SUMMARY...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING OVER
PARTS OF MINNESOTA AND SOUTH DAKOTA. LOCAL SEVERE RISK MAY LINGER
FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS OVER PARTS EAST COAST STATES, ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE VICINITY, AND PARTS OF UTAH.
...DISCUSSION...
SEVERE THREAT HAS BEGUN TO WANE ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. WITH THE
LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING. THE MOST SUBSTANTIAL RISK -- WHICH MAY
LAST THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING -- IS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA. HERE, MODERATE MID-LEVEL
WEST-NORTHWESTERLIES ATOP A LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD THAT VEERS WITH
HEIGHT IS RESULTING IN AMPLE SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORMS. THIS,
COMBINED WITH A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS (MIXED-LAYER CAPE STILL
3000 TO 4000 J/KG PER RAP-BASED OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS) IS SUPPORTING A
CLUSTER OF INTENSE STORMS OVER CENTRAL MINNESOTA, REMAINING CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL, AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
ELSEWHERE, A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CLUSTER OF STRONG STORMS IS MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AT THIS TIME, WHERE LOCAL
SEVERE RISK WILL PERSIST FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS. A FEW STRONG
STORMS ARE ALSO MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE,
WHICH MAY POSE A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH
MID-EVENING.
FINALLY, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER BANDS OF DEVELOPING
T.S. DEBBY WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
FLORIDA, WHERE A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT.
..GOSS.. 08/04/2024
READ MORE
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