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LU9DCE > ALERT    24.09.24 08:33l 68 Lines 2328 Bytes #210 (0) @ WW
BID : 8044_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 24-SEP24
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<DK0WUE<VK5RSV<VK5LEX<VE3KPG<N9PMO<GB7YEW<VK2IO<
      W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240924/0730Z 8044@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

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                PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
                       PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
                     COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF TUE SEP 24 02:39:01 UTC 2024

NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF TUE SEP 24 02:39:01 UTC 2024.

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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE SEP 24 02:39:02 UTC 2024

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE SEP 24 02:39:02 UTC 2024.

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SPC SEP 24, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
      
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2024

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE OZARKS
TO PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS...

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS
 EVENING FROM THE OZARKS INTO PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE AND LOWER OHIO
VALLEYS.

...01Z UPDATE...

POSITIVE-TILT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH HAS ADVANCED INTO IA-EASTERN KS-OK
EARLY THIS EVENING AS UPSTREAM HEIGHT FALLS APPEAR TO NOW BE
INFLUENCING THE MOVEMENT OF THIS FEATURE. LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS
SPREADING ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY, AND ONE REFLECTION OF THIS STRONGER FORCING IS EXPRESSED AS
A CORRIDOR OF CONVECTION THAT EXTENDS FROM SOUTH OF SPRINGFIELD
IL-STL-EXTREME NORTHERN AR. LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES AHEAD
OF THIS ACTIVITY WITH 10-15KT, 1KM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW FROM NEAR THE
CONFLUENCE OF THE MS/OH RIVERS INTO CENTRAL KY. WHILE EFFECTIVE
SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG, IT'S ADEQUATE FOR AT LEAST
ORGANIZED CLUSTERS AND PERHAPS A WEAK SUPERCELL OR TWO. GIVEN THE
WEAK LAPSE RATES, LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE GREATEST
CONCERN THIS EVENING.

..DARROW.. 09/24/2024

READ MORE

      

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