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LU9DCE > ALERT 10.05.24 10:38l 813 Lines 22913 Bytes #165 (0) @ WW
BID : 9555_LU9DCE
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Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 10-MAY24
Path: IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<VK2RZ<N6PNK<VE3CGR<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 240510/0701Z 9555@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 226
WW 226 SEVERE TSTM AL GA MS 100340Z - 101000Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 226
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ALABAMA
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1040 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF FAST-MOVING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL
ARE EXPECTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF EVERGREEN AL TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF MONTGOMERY AL. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 223...WW 224...WW 225...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
27035.
...HART
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225
WW 225 SEVERE TSTM LA MS TX 100115Z - 100800Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 225
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
815 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL LOUISIANA
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 815 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS OVER EAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA WILL
DEVELOP EASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA, LARGE
HAIL IS POSSIBLE EARLY, WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AS
STORMS ORGANIZE INTO LINES.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST OF FORT
POLK LA TO 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF MERIDIAN MS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 221...WW 222...WW
223...WW 224...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
27035.
...HART
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 224
WW 224 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 092245Z - 100500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 224
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
545 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA
CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 545 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT
CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WILL
TRACK EASTWARD AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH THE EVENING,
SPREADING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. VERY LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO ARE THE MAIN THREATS EARLY, WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF
DAMAGING WINDS BY LATE EVENING.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES WEST OF AUSTIN TX
TO 105 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LUFKIN TX. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION
OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 219...WW 220...WW
221...WW 222...WW 223...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
29030.
...HART
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223
WW 223 SEVERE TSTM AL MS 092200Z - 100400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 223
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT THU MAY 9 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 500 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND DRIFT EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS. A TORNADO OR
TWO MAY ALSO OCCUR.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
OF COLUMBUS MS TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AUBURN AL. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 219...WW 220...WW
221...WW 222...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
28035.
...HART
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 226 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0226 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS FOR WATCH 0226 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0225 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 225
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE LFK
TO 5 WSW IER TO 15 WSW MLU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0741
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...JAN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 225
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-009-011-025-029-035-039-041-065-079-107-115-123-100440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN MADISON
RAPIDES TENSAS VERNON
WEST CARROLL
MSC001-021-023-029-031-037-049-053-055-061-063-065-067-075-077-
085-101-121-123-125-127-129-149-163-100440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAIBORNE CLARKE
COPIAH COVINGTON FRANKLIN
HINDS HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 224 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0224 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE AUS TO
40 ENE AUS TO 20 SE IER.
WW 224 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0739
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC021-043-059-069-127-100500-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE
NATCHITOCHES WINN
TXC015-021-051-055-091-123-149-177-187-285-287-373-407-477-
100500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BASTROP BURLESON
CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT
FAYETTE GONZALES GUADALUPE
LAVACA LEE POLK
SAN JACINTO WASHINGTON
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0223 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 223
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MEG...JAN...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 223
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-007-011-017-021-027-037-047-051-057-063-065-073-075-
081-085-087-091-101-105-107-109-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-
100440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB
BULLOCK CHAMBERS CHILTON
CLAY COOSA DALLAS
ELMORE FAYETTE GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LAMAR
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MONTGOMERY PERRY
PICKENS PIKE RUSSELL
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER
MSC007-015-019-025-051-069-079-087-089-097-099-103-105-155-159-
100440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 222 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0222 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S SHV TO
45 E SHV TO 20 NE MLU.
WW 222 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100400Z.
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 222
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-049-073-100400-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE JACKSON OUACHITA
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 221 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0221 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW TPL
TO 20 WSW ACT TO 10 ENE CRS.
WW 221 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100200Z.
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 221
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC309-100200-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCLENNAN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 220 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0220 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 220
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE TOI TO
30 E DHN TO 20 NNE TLH.
..GOSS..05/09/24
ATTN...WFO...TAE...JAX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 220
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC045-067-069-092340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALE HENRY HOUSTON
GAC087-099-185-201-253-092340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR EARLY LOWNDES
MILLER SEMINOLE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 219 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0219 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 219
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E DAL TO
20 S GYI TO 10 N GYI TO 35 NNW PRX.
WW 219 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100000Z.
..SQUITIERI..05/09/24
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 219
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-100000-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN
TXC147-181-100000-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FANNIN GRAYSON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC MD 742
MD 0742 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223...225... FOR CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO WESTERN ALABAMA
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0742
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1012 PM CDT THU MAY 09 2024
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI INTO WESTERN
ALABAMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223...225...
VALID 100312Z - 100445Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223, 225
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN MISSISSIPPI,
AND SHOULD PROGRESS EASTWARD TOWARD/INTO ALABAMA OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. RISK FOR HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY WARRANT
NEW WW ISSUANCE AND/OR WW EXTENSIONS ACROSS THIS AREA.
DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS STORMS MOVING
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS WESTERN MISSISSIPPI AT AROUND 40 KT.
DOWNSTREAM, A VERY UNSTABLE (AROUND 3500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE)
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS, WHICH SHOULD SUSTAIN THE ADVANCING CONVECTION.
WHILE LOW-LEVEL FLOW REMAINS RATHER WEAK ACROSS THIS AREA, THE MID-
AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND FIELD REMAINS STRONG, WITH WEST-SOUTHWESTERLIES
IN THE 50 TO 60 KT RANGE INDICATED. THIS SHOULD PERMIT STORMS TO
CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE, AND MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD, ACCOMPANIED BY AT
LEAST OCCASIONAL/LOCAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. WHILE SOME OF THE
CONVECTION WILL REMAIN WITHIN MORE RECENTLY ISSUED WW 225, STORMS
ARE NOW MOVING INTO AREAS COVERED CURRENTLY BY WW 223, WHICH IS SET
TO EXPIRE AT 10/04Z. AS SUCH, SOME LOCAL EXTENSION OF WW 223 IN
MISSISSIPPI MAY BE REQUIRED, ALONG WITH POTENTIAL NEW WATCH ISSUANCE
ACROSS A SIZEABLE PORTION OF ALABAMA.
..GOSS/HART.. 05/10/2024
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 31168861 31299002 31769027 32439020 33099043 33699035
33848813 33578672 32118676 31368753 31168861
READ MORE
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SPC MD 741
MD 0741 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225... FOR PORTIONS OF FAR
EASTERN TEXAS INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0741
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 PM CDT THU MAY 09 2024
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF FAR EASTERN TEXAS INTO CENTRAL
LOUISIANA AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225...
VALID 100300Z - 100430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 225
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 225. SEVERE WIND AND HAIL SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREATS OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER, UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE MCSS IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT, WITH SEVERE WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY THREAT.
DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS AND MULTICELLULAR
CLUSTERS PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN TX INTO CENTRAL MS AMID A VERY
UNSTABLE AND HIGHLY SHEARED TROPOSPHERE. AS SUCH, ANY STORMS THAT
REMAIN DISCRETE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE PRODUCING SEVERE
HAIL IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING GUSTS. THERE IS ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR
UPSCALE GROWTH INTO ONE OR MORE PROGRESSIVE, COLD-POOL-DRIVEN MCSS,
AS INDICATED BY THE 01Z RUN OF BOTH THE HRRR AND WARN-ON-FORECAST
ENSEMBLE. SHOULD THIS OCCUR, FOCUSED CORRIDORS OF SEVERE WINDS COULD
ACCOMPANY THESE MCSS. AT THE MOMENT, THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR UPSCALE
GROWTH APPEAR TO BE WITH THE CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS IN FAR EASTERN TX
AND PERHAPS WITH RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING STORMS IN NORTH-CENTRAL LA.
..SQUITIERI.. 05/10/2024
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...
LAT...LON 29979420 30749463 31379395 32399182 32749091 32689045
32319021 31849037 31519081 30739158 29979420
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SPC MD 740
MD 0740 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223... FOR EAST-CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI AND EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0740
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0949 PM CDT THU MAY 09 2024
AREAS AFFECTED...EAST-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND EASTWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223...
VALID 100249Z - 100415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 223
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA.
DISCUSSION...STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA HAVE RECENTLY EVOLVED
INTO A BOWING CLUSTER, WHICH IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
MONTGOMERY AREA AND LIKELY ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING WINDS.
ON THIS TRAJECTORY, THE STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY BEGIN TO ENCOUNTER A
MORE STABLE AIRMASS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA AND INTO
SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. THIS SHOULD EVENTUALLY PROVE TO BE A NEGATIVE
IN TERMS OF STORM INTENSITY/WIND RISK, AND MAY PRECLUDE THE URGENCY
FOR A DOWNSTREAM WW. IN THE MEAN TIME, DAMAGING WIND RISK HAS
INCREASED ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL ALABAMA.
..GOSS.. 05/10/2024
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 32288654 32778651 32788609 33078544 32328464 31358490
31388578 32288654
READ MORE
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SPC MAY 10, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT THU MAY 09 2024
VALID 100100Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM
CENTRAL/EAST TX ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
...SUMMARY...
ONGOING SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT
ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS THIS EVENING, WITH OTHER SEVERE STORMS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST. A CORRIDOR OF POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGING WIND REMAINS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT ACROSS EAST TEXAS,
LOUISIANA, SOUTHERN PARTS OF MISSISSIPPI, ALABAMA, AND GEORGIA, AND
PERHAPS INTO NORTH FLORIDA.
...TEXAS INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST...
INTENSE SUPERCELLS ARE ONGOING THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL
TX, WITHIN AN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
VERY LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT FOR AS LONG AS THE
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES PERSIST THIS EVENING, ALONG WITH SEVERE GUSTS
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO. FARTHER EAST, CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY
INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL MS/AL, NEAR/SOUTH OF
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AND STRONG
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS THROUGH
THE EVENING, WITH A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL (POSSIBLY VERY LARGE),
LOCALIZED SEVERE GUSTS, AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.
WITH VERY FAVORABLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY IN PLACE FROM EAST
TEXAS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND MODERATE UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ALOFT,
POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR AN UPSCALE-GROWING STORM CLUSTER TO EVOLVE
INTO A FAST-MOVING MCS, WHICH COULD PRODUCE A SWATH OF DAMAGING
WINDS LATE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS, HOWEVER, REGARDING STORM EVOLUTION THROUGH THE EVENING,
WITH POTENTIAL FOR EXTENSIVE CONVECTION ACROSS MS/AL AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS CONVECTION WOULD POSE A
SEVERE THREAT, BUT WOULD ALSO TEND TO PUSH THE OUTFLOW SOUTHWARD
WITH TIME.
IF AN EASTWARD-MOVING CLUSTER CAN EVOLVE ACROSS TX OR LA AND BECOME
FAVORABLY ALIGNED WITH THE EFFECTIVE SURFACE BOUNDARY, THEN AN
ORGANIZED BOW COULD SURGE EASTWARD WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND. IT
IS ALSO POSSIBLE THAT ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS COULD EVOLVE OUT OF THE
MS/AL CONVECTION. REGARDLESS OF EVOLUTION, WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE NIGHT WITHIN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT, WITH ONE OR MORE CORRIDORS OF DAMAGING WIND
POSSIBLE, ALONG WITH A THREAT OF HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.
..DEAN.. 05/10/2024
READ MORE
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HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
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